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- *** ND_Kate.DOC ***
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- This program is based on formulas and information obtained from a
- magazine article. No guarantees are made regarding the accuracy of this
- program. No financial decisions should be made on the basis the Indicators
- presented in this program. The information provided by this program is not
- intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell equities. Professional
- programs are available. Purchase a commercially-available program if you
- want to do accurate equity analysis. This program is just for fun (if
- trying to outguess the stock market is your idea of fun)!!
-
- The following tools were used to create this program:
-
- TDI Modula-2 = TDI Software Inc. Dallas, Texas.
- Power Windows 2.0 = Inovatronics, Inc. Dallas, Texas.
- Asm/68k = Public Domain MacroAssembler.
-
- If you would like to compare the Amiga/Intuition Interface version of
- this program to a BASIC version written for a Big Blue or Clone, check the
- November Issue of Computer Shopper magazine. You will find an article titled
- "One Day Market Forecaster." That program outputs the actual probability of
- market increases. If you look closely, though, you will see that the program
- initialization data lists a smaller probability of increase if 5 Indicators
- are positive than if only 4 are positive. That conflicts with the theory
- presented in the article, so my Amiga version does not list the
- probabilities. Instead, the Indicators represent only positive, negative, and
- neutral probability of market increases.
-
- >> If the Indicator is " + " then there is a better than 50/50 chance that
- the market will increase the following day.
-
- >> If it is " - " then the chances of an increase are less than 50/50.
-
- >> A " * " results if the Indicator is neutral or no data was entered for
- that Indicator.
-
- The information required can be obtained from the "Wall Street Journal",
- "Nightly Business Report" on PBS-TV, or from on-line information services.
- The BASIC version requests more information than mine, but I found that some
- of the data is already computed and presented by the sources listed above.
- An example is the NYSE Final Tick. The BASIC version asks for the number of
- stocks with a Final Upward Tick and the number with a Final Downward Tick.
- It then computes the NYSE Final Tick. I found that sources listing the up
- and down Final Ticks also list the total Final Tick so only the total Final
- Tick is input into the Amiga version.
- You may need to make some decimal adjustments before entering the data.
- For instance, the NYSE Composite Net Change is listed with 2 decimal places
- (i.e. 5.45). Since the program input is done with Integer Gadgets, no
- decimals can be entered. Move the decimal place over to the right (i.e. 5.45
- becomes 545) and enter that number. The Indicators are based on the
- relative values of the data and whether they are positive or negative. Just
- remember to make the same decimal adjustments for comparable values.
- The comparable values are:
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- 1. Yesterday's and Today's Composite Index Net Changes.
- 2. Advance and Decline Volumes.
- 3. Advances and Declines.
- 4. DJIA High, Low and Close.
-
- The Final Tick is a singular value.
-
- If any values exceed the available input length, drop several of the least
- significant digits before entering. For example, it would be better to enter
- NYSE Volumes in thousands or hundreds. A volume of 202301000 or 123000100
- shares would be entered as 202301 or 123000. Don't forget to include " - "
- signs. Entering a negative value without the sign will produce incorrect
- results.
-
- I originally intended to include the source code with this program, but
- it includes Source output from POWER WINDOWS 2.0. I don't want to incur any
- copyright hassles so I did not include the source. You would need to have
- the POWER WINDOWS Modula2 support Modules to compile it anyway. If the
- program seems large (filesize) it's because all of the Window Imagery Data
- is contained within the program. That avoids requiring an Image data file
- in the same directory when the program is run.
-
- If you like this program do not send money!! I have enough tax problems
- as it is!!!
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-